Research
Designing and aggregating evidence for policy decisions
What data should we collect, and when and how can we learn from existing evidence?
Working papers
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When is statistical evidence strong enough? Using hypothesis tests to value data collection
We propose a welfare-based analog of p-values to capture the value of future data collection.
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Learning What to Learn: Experimental Design when Combining Experimental with Observational Evidence
We provide an economic framework to choose which experiment to run and how to design it to estimate general equilibrium effects or externally valid counterfactuals.
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Evidence aggregation with ignorance in mind: learning what we do (not) know for archetypes discovery
· Revise and resubmit at Econometrica
We provide a framework and method to learn when and how effects generalize across different contexts, and when instead they do not.
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Program Evaluation with Remotely Sensed Outcomes
· Revision requested at the American Economic Review
We provide an econometric framework for causal inference when researchers do not have direct access to the outcome, but only observe remote sensed outcomes such as satellite images or digital traces.
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Publication design with incentives in mind
We study the design of scientific communication in settings where researchers have private incentives.
Publications
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A model of multiple hypothesis testing
Review of Economic Studies ·
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Causal Inference with Satellite Imagery: A Comparison of Methods for Forest Conservation Data
AEA Papers and Proceedings · Non-refereed article
Can satellite-based predictions substitute for traditional outcome measurements in program evaluation? We study this question through calibrated semi-synthetic simulations studying environmental programs in developing countries.
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Fair Policy Targeting
Journal of the American Statistical Association ·
We propose and study treatment allocation rules that are fair and Pareto optimal for applications in welfare programs.
Networks and spillovers
How should we design experiments and make policy decisions when treating one person affects others?
Working papers
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Causal Clustering: design of cluster experiments under network interference
We study when and how researchers should design clusters in experiments with network spillovers (with an application to the universe of Facebook users).
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Estimating Social Norm Complementarities
· Revision requested at Econometrica (presidential address)
We provide a framework to estimate complementarities and substitution effects between social norms in the presence of spillovers.
Publications
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Policy design in experiments with unknown interference
· Accepted at Review of Economics and Statistics
We propose an experimental design for inference on and estimation of policies under network interference.
(with follow-up data collection in an implementation reaching over 400 000 participants.)
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Experimental Design under Network Interference
· Accepted at Journal of Political Economy Micro
I propose a statistical framework for two-stage experimental designs under interference, with a focus on precise inference on treatment and spillover effects.
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Policy Targeting under Network Interference
Review of Economic Studies · · Featured article
I design and study how to choose whom to treat in the presence of spillovers using data from existing experiments or observational studies.
Policy evaluation with observational evidence
How can comparisons across units and over time help us estimate the effects of a policy?
Working papers
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Identification and Inference for Synthetic Controls with Confounding
We formalize the properties of Synthetic Control estimators with unobserved confounders.
Publications
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Dynamic covariate balancing: estimating treatment effects over time with potential local projections
Biometrika ·
We study inference on time-varying treatments with panel data in the presence of high-dimensional covariates and (unknown) dynamic selection into treatment.
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Triple Robust Panel Estimator
Journal of Applied Econometrics ·
We introduce a panel data estimator with strong robustness properties. We illustrate its properties across several applications.
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Synthetic Learner: Model-free Inference on Treatments over Time
Journal of Econometrics ·
We study estimation and inference with machine-learning estimators in the context of synthetic controls.